The modern American economy traces its roots to the quest of European settlers
for economic gain in the 16th, 17th, and 18th centuries. The New World then
progressed from a marginally successful colonial economy to a small, independent
farming economy and, eventually, to a highly complex industrial economy. During
this evolution, the United States developed ever more complex institutions to
match its growth. And while government involvement in the economy has been a
consistent theme, the extent of that involvement generally has increased.
North America's first inhabitants were Native Americans -- indigenous
peoples who are believed to have traveled to America about 20,000 years earlier
across a land bridge from Asia, where the Bering Strait is today. (They were
mistakenly called "Indians" by European explorers, who thought they had reached
India when first landing in the Americas.) These native peoples were organized
in tribes and, in some cases, confederations of tribes. While they traded among
themselves, they had little contact with peoples on other continents, even with
other native peoples in South America, before European settlers began arriving.
What economic systems they did develop were destroyed by the Europeans who
settled their lands.
Vikings were the first Europeans to "discover" America. But the event,
which occurred around the year 1000, went largely unnoticed; at the time, most
of European society was still firmly based on agriculture and land ownership.
Commerce had not yet assumed the importance that would provide an impetus to the
further exploration and settlement of North America.
In 1492, Christopher Columbus, an Italian sailing under the Spanish flag,
set out to find a southwest passage to Asia and discovered a "New World." For
the next 100 years, English, Spanish, Portuguese, Dutch, and French explorers
sailed from Europe for the New World, looking for gold, riches, honor, and
glory.
But the North American wilderness offered early explorers little glory and
less gold, so most did not stay. The people who eventually did settle North
America arrived later. In 1607, a band of Englishmen built the first permanent
settlement in what was to become the United States. The settlement, Jamestown,
was located in the present-day state of Virginia.Colonization
Early settlers had a variety of reasons for seeking a new homeland. The Pilgrims
of Massachusetts were pious, self-disciplined English people who wanted to
escape religious persecution. Other colonies, such as Virginia, were founded
principally as business ventures. Often, though, piety and profits went
hand-in-hand.
England's success at colonizing what would become the United States was due
in large part to its use of charter companies. Charter companies were groups of
stockholders (usually merchants and wealthy landowners) who sought personal
economic gain and, perhaps, wanted also to advance England's national goals.
While the private sector financed the companies, the King provided each project
with a charter or grant conferring economic rights as well as political and
judicial authority. The colonies generally did not show quick profits, however,
and the English investors often turned over their colonial charters to the
settlers. The political implications, although not realized at the time, were
enormous. The colonists were left to build their own lives, their own
communities, and their own economy -- in effect, to start constructing the
rudiments of a new nation.
What early colonial prosperity there was resulted from trapping and trading
in furs. In addition, fishing was a primary source of wealth in Massachusetts.
But throughout the colonies, people lived primarily on small farms and were
self-sufficient. In the few small cities and among the larger plantations of
North Carolina, South Carolina, and Virginia, some necessities and virtually all
luxuries were imported in return for tobacco, rice, and indigo (blue dye)
exports.
Supportive industries developed as the colonies grew. A variety of
specialized sawmills and gristmills appeared. Colonists established shipyards to
build fishing fleets and, in time, trading vessels. The also built small iron
forges. By the 18th century, regional patterns of development had become clear:
the New England colonies relied on ship-building and sailing to generate wealth;
plantations (many using slave labor) in Maryland, Virginia, and the Carolinas
grew tobacco, rice, and indigo; and the middle colonies of New York,
Pennsylvania, New Jersey, and Delaware shipped general crops and furs. Except
for slaves, standards of living were generally high -- higher, in fact, than in
England itself. Because English investors had withdrawn, the field was open to
entrepreneurs among the colonists.
By 1770, the North American colonies were ready, both economically and
politically, to become part of the emerging self-government movement that had
dominated English politics since the time of James I (1603-1625). Disputes
developed with England over taxation and other matters; Americans hoped for a
modification of English taxes and regulations that would satisfy their demand
for more self-government. Few thought the mounting quarrel with the English
government would lead to all-out war against the British and to independence for
the colonies.
Like the English political turmoil of the 17th and 18th centuries, the
American Revolution (1775-1783) was both political and economic, bolstered by an
emerging middle class with a rallying cry of "unalienable rights to life,
liberty, and property" -- a phrase openly borrowed from English philosopher John
Locke's Second Treatise on Civil Government (1690). The war was triggered
by an event in April 1775. British soldiers, intending to capture a colonial
arms depot at Concord, Massachusetts, clashed with colonial militiamen. Someone
-- no one knows exactly who -- fired a shot, and eight years of fighting began.
While political separation from England may not have been the majority of
colonists' original goal, independence and the creation of a new nation -- the
United States -- was the ultimate result.
The New Nation's Economy
The U.S. Constitution, adopted in 1787 and in effect to this day, was in many
ways a work of creative genius. As an economic charter, it established that the
entire nation -- stretching then from Maine to Georgia, from the Atlantic Ocean
to the Mississippi Valley -- was a unified, or "common," market. There were to
be no tariffs or taxes on interstate commerce. The Constitution provided that
the federal government could regulate commerce with foreign nations and among
the states, establish uniform bankruptcy laws, create money and regulate its
value, fix standards of weights and measures, establish post offices and roads,
and fix rules governing patents and copyrights. The last-mentioned clause was an
early recognition of the importance of "intellectual property," a matter that
would assume great importance in trade negotiations in the late 20th century.
Alexander Hamilton, one of the nation's Founding Fathers and its first
secretary of the treasury, advocated an economic development strategy in which
the federal government would nurture infant industries by providing overt
subsidies and imposing protective tariffs on imports. He also urged the federal
government to create a national bank and to assume the public debts that the
colonies had incurred during the Revolutionary War. The new government dallied
over some of Hamilton's proposals, but ultimately it did make tariffs an
essential part of American foreign policy -- a position that lasted until almost
the middle of the 20th century.
Although early American farmers feared that a national bank would serve the
rich at the expense of the poor, the first National Bank of the United States
was chartered in 1791; it lasted until 1811, after which a successor bank was
chartered.
Hamilton believed the United States should pursue economic growth through
diversified shipping, manufacturing, and banking. Hamilton's political rival,
Thomas Jefferson, based his philosophy on protecting the common man from
political and economic tyranny. He particularly praised small farmers as "the
most valuable citizens." In 1801, Jefferson became president (1801-1809) and
turned to promoting a more decentralized, agrarian democracy.
Movement South and Westward
Cotton, at first a small-scale crop in the South, boomed following Eli Whitney's
invention in 1793 of the cotton gin, a machine that separated raw cotton from
seeds and other waste. Planters in the South bought land from small farmers who
frequently moved farther west. Soon, large plantations, supported by slave
labor, made some families very wealthy.
It wasn't just southerners who were moving west, however. Whole villages in
the East sometimes uprooted and established new settlements in the more fertile
farmland of the Midwest. While western settlers are often depicted as fiercely
independent and strongly opposed to any kind of government control or
interference, they actually received a lot of government help, directly and
indirectly. Government-created national roads and waterways, such as the
Cumberland Pike (1818) and the Erie Canal (1825), helped new settlers migrate
west and later helped move western farm produce to market.
Many Americans, both poor and rich, idealized Andrew Jackson, who became
president in 1829, because he had started life in a log cabin in frontier
territory. President Jackson (1829-1837) opposed the successor to Hamilton's
National Bank, which he believed favored the entrenched interests of the East
against the West. When he was elected for a second term, Jackson opposed
renewing the bank's charter, and Congress supported him. Their actions shook
confidence in the nation's financial system, and business panics occurred in
both 1834 and 1837.
Periodic economic dislocations did not curtail rapid U.S. economic growth
during the 19th century. New inventions and capital investment led to the
creation of new industries and economic growth. As transportation improved, new
markets continuously opened. The steamboat made river traffic faster and
cheaper, but development of railroads had an even greater effect, opening up
vast stretches of new territory for development. Like canals and roads,
railroads received large amounts of government assistance in their early
building years in the form of land grants. But unlike other forms of
transportation, railroads also attracted a good deal of domestic and European
private investment.
In these heady days, get-rich-quick schemes abounded. Financial
manipulators made fortunes overnight, but many people lost their savings.
Nevertheless, a combination of vision and foreign investment, combined with the
discovery of gold and a major commitment of America's public and private wealth,
enabled the nation to develop a large-scale railroad system, establishing the
base for the country's industrialization.
Industrial Growth
The Industrial Revolution began in Europe in the late 18th and early 19th
centuries, and it quickly spread to the United States. By 1860, when Abraham
Lincoln was elected president, 16 percent of the U.S. population lived in urban
areas, and a third of the nation's income came from manufacturing. Urbanized
industry was limited primarily to the Northeast; cotton cloth production was the
leading industry, with the manufacture of shoes, woolen clothing, and machinery
also expanding. Many new workers were immigrants. Between 1845 and 1855, some
300,000 European immigrants arrived annually. Most were poor and remained in
eastern cities, often at ports of arrival.
The South, on the other hand, remained rural and dependent on the North for
capital and manufactured goods. Southern economic interests, including slavery,
could be protected by political power only as long as the South controlled the
federal government. The Republican Party, organized in 1856, represented the
industrialized North. In 1860, Republicans and their presidential candidate,
Abraham Lincoln were speaking hesitantly on slavery, but they were much clearer
on economic policy. In 1861, they successfully pushed adoption of a protective
tariff. In 1862, the first Pacific railroad was chartered. In 1863 and 1864, a
national bank code was drafted.
Northern victory in the U.S. Civil War (1861-1865), however, sealed the
destiny of the nation and its economic system. The slave-labor system was
abolished, making the large southern cotton plantations much less profitable.
Northern industry, which had expanded rapidly because of the demands of the war,
surged ahead. Industrialists came to dominate many aspects of the nation's life,
including social and political affairs. The planter aristocracy of the South,
portrayed sentimentally 70 years later in the film classic Gone with the Wind,
disappeared.
Inventions, Development, and Tycoons
The rapid economic development following the Civil War laid the groundwork for
the modern U.S. industrial economy. An explosion of new discoveries and
inventions took place, causing such profound changes that some termed the
results a "second industrial revolution." Oil was discovered in western
Pennsylvania. The typewriter was developed. Refrigeration railroad cars came
into use. The telephone, phonograph, and electric light were invented. And by
the dawn of the 20th century, cars were replacing carriages and people were
flying in airplanes.
Parallel to these achievements was the development of the nation's
industrial infrastructure. Coal was found in abundance in the Appalachian
Mountains from Pennsylvania south to Kentucky. Large iron mines opened in the
Lake Superior region of the upper Midwest. Mills thrived in places where these
two important raw materials could be brought together to produce steel. Large
copper and silver mines opened, followed by lead mines and cement factories.
As industry grew larger, it developed mass-production methods. Frederick W.
Taylor pioneered the field of scientific management in the late 19th century,
carefully plotting the functions of various workers and then devising new, more
efficient ways for them to do their jobs. (True mass production was the
inspiration of Henry Ford, who in 1913 adopted the moving assembly line, with
each worker doing one simple task in the production of automobiles. In what
turned out to be a farsighted action, Ford offered a very generous wage -- $5 a
day -- to his workers, enabling many of them to buy the automobiles they made,
helping the industry to expand.)
The "Gilded Age" of the second half of the 19th century was the epoch of
tycoons. Many Americans came to idealize these businessmen who amassed vast
financial empires. Often their success lay in seeing the long-range potential
for a new service or product, as John D. Rockefeller did with oil. They were
fierce competitors, single-minded in their pursuit of financial success and
power. Other giants in addition to Rockefeller and Ford included Jay Gould, who
made his money in railroads; J. Pierpont Morgan, banking; and Andrew Carnegie,
steel. Some tycoons were honest according to business standards of their day;
others, however, used force, bribery, and guile to achieve their wealth and
power. For better or worse, business interests acquired significant influence
over government.
Morgan, perhaps the most flamboyant of the entrepreneurs, operated on a
grand scale in both his private and business life. He and his companions
gambled, sailed yachts, gave lavish parties, built palatial homes, and bought
European art treasures. In contrast, men such as Rockefeller and Ford exhibited
puritanical qualities. They retained small-town values and lifestyles. As
church-goers, they felt a sense of responsibility to others. They believed that
personal virtues could bring success; theirs was the gospel of work and thrift.
Later their heirs would establish the largest philanthropic foundations in
America.
While upper-class European intellectuals generally looked on commerce with
disdain, most Americans -- living in a society with a more fluid class structure
-- enthusiastically embraced the idea of moneymaking. They enjoyed the risk and
excitement of business enterprise, as well as the higher living standards and
potential rewards of power and acclaim that business success brought.
As the American economy matured in the 20th century, however, the
freewheeling business mogul lost luster as an American ideal. The crucial change
came with the emergence of the corporation, which appeared first in the railroad
industry and then elsewhere. Business barons were replaced by "technocrats,"
high-salaried managers who became the heads of corporations. The rise of the
corporation triggered, in turn, the rise of an organized labor movement that
served as a countervailing force to the power and influence of business.
The technological revolution of the 1980s and 1990s brought a new
entrepreneurial culture that echoes of the age of tycoons. Bill Gates, the head
of Microsoft, built an immense fortune developing and selling computer software.
Gates carved out an empire so profitable that by the late 1990s, his company was
taken into court and accused of intimidating rivals and creating a monopoly by
the U.S. Justice Department's antitrust division. But Gates also established a
charitable foundation that quickly became the largest of its kind. Most American
business leaders of today do not lead the high-profile life of Gates. They
direct the fate of corporations, but they also serve on boards for charities and
schools. They are concerned about the state of the national economy and
America's relationship with other nations, and they are likely to fly to
Washington to confer with government officials. While they undoubtedly influence
the government, they do not control it -- as some tycoons in the Gilded Age
believed they did.
Government Involvement
In the early years of American history, most political leaders were reluctant to
involve the federal government too heavily in the private sector, except in the
area of transportation. In general, they accepted the concept of laissez-faire,
a doctrine opposing government interference in the economy except to maintain
law and order. This attitude started to change during the latter part of the
19th century, when small business, farm, and labor movements began asking the
government to intercede on their behalf.
By the turn of the century, a middle class had developed that was leery of
both the business elite and the somewhat radical political movements of farmers
and laborers in the Midwest and West. Known as Progressives, these people
favored government regulation of business practices to ensure competition and
free enterprise. They also fought corruption in the public sector.
Congress enacted a law regulating railroads in 1887 (the Interstate
Commerce Act), and one preventing large firms from controlling a single industry
in 1890 (the Sherman Antitrust Act). These laws were not rigorously enforced,
however, until the years between 1900 and 1920, when Republican President
Theodore Roosevelt (1901-1909), Democratic President Woodrow Wilson (1913-1921),
and others sympathetic to the views of the Progressives came to power. Many of
today's U.S. regulatory agencies were created during these years, including the
Interstate Commerce Commission, the Food and Drug Administration, and the
Federal Trade Commission.
Government involvement in the economy increased most significantly during
the New Deal of the 1930s. The 1929 stock market crash had initiated the most
serious economic dislocation in the nation's history, the Great Depression
(1929-1940). President Franklin D. Roosevelt (1933-1945) launched the New Deal
to alleviate the emergency.
Many of the most important laws and institutions that define American's
modern economy can be traced to the New Deal era. New Deal legislation extended
federal authority in banking, agriculture, and public welfare. It established
minimum standards for wages and hours on the job, and it served as a catalyst
for the expansion of labor unions in such industries as steel, automobiles, and
rubber. Programs and agencies that today seem indispensable to the operation of
the country's modern economy were created: the Securities and Exchange
Commission, which regulates the stock market; the Federal Deposit Insurance
Corporation, which guarantees bank deposits; and, perhaps most notably, the
Social Security system, which provides pensions to the elderly based on
contributions they made when they were part of the work force.
New Deal leaders flirted with the idea of building closer ties between
business and government, but some of these efforts did not survive past World
War II. The National Industrial Recovery Act, a short-lived New Deal program,
sought to encourage business leaders and workers, with government supervision,
to resolve conflicts and thereby increase productivity and efficiency. While
America never took the turn to fascism that similar business-labor-government
arrangements did in Germany and Italy, the New Deal initiatives did point to a
new sharing of power among these three key economic players. This confluence of
power grew even more during the war, as the U.S. government intervened
extensively in the economy. The War Production Board coordinated the nation's
productive capabilities so that military priorities would be met. Converted
consumer-products plants filled many military orders. Automakers built tanks and
aircraft, for example, making the United States the "arsenal of democracy." In
an effort to prevent rising national income and scarce consumer products to
cause inflation, the newly created Office of Price Administration controlled
rents on some dwellings, rationed consumer items ranging from sugar to gasoline,
and otherwise tried to restrain price increases.
The Postwar Economy: 1945-1960
Many Americans feared that the end of World War II and the subsequent drop in
military spending might bring back the hard times of the Great Depression. But
instead, pent-up consumer demand fueled exceptionally strong economic growth in
the postwar period. The automobile industry successfully converted back to
producing cars, and new industries such as aviation and electronics grew by
leaps and bounds. A housing boom, stimulated in part by easily affordable
mortgages for returning members of the military, added to the expansion. The
nation's gross national product rose from about $200,000 million in 1940 to
$300,000 million in 1950 and to more than $500,000 million in 1960. At the same
time, the jump in postwar births, known as the "baby boom," increased the number
of consumers. More and more Americans joined the middle class.
The need to produce war supplies had given rise to a huge
military-industrial complex (a term coined by Dwight D. Eisenhower, who served
as the U.S. president from 1953 through 1961). It did not disappear with the
war's end. As the Iron Curtain descended across Europe and the United States
found itself embroiled in a cold war with the Soviet Union, the government
maintained substantial fighting capacity and invested in sophisticated weapons
such as the hydrogen bomb. Economic aid flowed to war-ravaged European countries
under the Marshall Plan, which also helped maintain markets for numerous U.S.
goods. And the government itself recognized its central role in economic
affairs. The Employment Act of 1946 stated as government policy "to promote
maximum employment, production, and purchasing power."
The United States also recognized during the postwar period the need to
restructure international monetary arrangements, spearheading the creation of
the International Monetary Fund and the World Bank -- institutions designed to
ensure an open, capitalist international economy.
Business, meanwhile, entered a period marked by consolidation. Firms merged
to create huge, diversified conglomerates. International Telephone and
Telegraph, for instance, bought Sheraton Hotels, Continental Banking, Hartford
Fire Insurance, Avis Rent-a-Car, and other companies.
The American work force also changed significantly. During the 1950s, the
number of workers providing services grew until it equaled and then surpassed
the number who produced goods. And by 1956, a majority of U.S. workers held
white-collar rather than blue-collar jobs. At the same time, labor unions won
long-term employment contracts and other benefits for their members.
Farmers, on the other hand, faced tough times. Gains in productivity led to
agricultural overproduction, as farming became a big business. Small family
farms found it increasingly difficult to compete, and more and more farmers left
the land. As a result, the number of people employed in the farm sector, which
in 1947 stood at 7.9 million, began a continuing decline; by 1998, U.S. farms
employed only 3.4 million people.
Other Americans moved, too. Growing demand for single-family homes and the
widespread ownership of cars led many Americans to migrate from central cities
to suburbs. Coupled with technological innovations such as the invention of air
conditioning, the migration spurred the development of "Sun Belt" cities such as
Houston, Atlanta, Miami, and Phoenix in the southern and southwestern states. As
new, federally sponsored highways created better access to the suburbs, business
patterns began to change as well. Shopping centers multiplied, rising from eight
at the end of World War II to 3,840 in 1960. Many industries soon followed,
leaving cities for less crowded sites.
Years of Change: The 1960s and 1970s
The 1950s in America are often described as a time of complacency. By contrast,
the 1960s and 1970s were a time of great change. New nations emerged around the
world, insurgent movements sought to overthrow existing governments, established
countries grew to become economic powerhouses that rivaled the United States,
and economic relationships came to predominate in a world that increasingly
recognized military might could not be the only means of growth and expansion.
President John F. Kennedy (1961-1963) ushered in a more activist approach
to governing. During his 1960 presidential campaign, Kennedy said he would ask
Americans to meet the challenges of the "New Frontier." As president, he sought
to accelerate economic growth by increasing government spending and cutting
taxes, and he pressed for medical help for the elderly, aid for inner cities,
and increased funds for education. Many of these proposals were not enacted,
although Kennedy's vision of sending Americans abroad to help developing nations
did materialize with the creation of the Peace Corps. Kennedy also stepped up
American space exploration. After his death, the American space program
surpassed Soviet achievements and culminated in the landing of American
astronauts on the moon in July 1969.
Kennedy's assassination in 1963 spurred Congress to enact much of his
legislative agenda. His successor, Lyndon Baines Johnson (1963-1969), sought to
build a "Great Society" by spreading benefits of America's successful economy to
more citizens. Federal spending increased dramatically, as the government
launched such new programs as Medicare (health care for the elderly), Food
Stamps (food assistance for the poor), and numerous education initiatives
(assistance to students as well as grants to schools and colleges).
Military spending also increased as American's presence in Vietnam grew.
What had started as a small military action under Kennedy mushroomed into a
major military initiative during Johnson's presidency. Ironically, spending on
both wars -- the war on poverty and the fighting war in Vietnam -- contributed
to prosperity in the short term. But by the end of the 1960s, the government's
failure to raise taxes to pay for these efforts led to accelerating inflation,
which eroded this prosperity. The 1973-1974 oil embargo by members of the
Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) pushed energy prices
rapidly higher and created shortages. Even after the embargo ended, energy
prices stayed high, adding to inflation and eventually causing rising rates of
unemployment. Federal budget deficits grew, foreign competition intensified, and
the stock market sagged.
The Vietnam War dragged on until 1975, President Richard Nixon (1969-1973)
resigned under a cloud of impeachment charges, and a group of Americans were
taken hostage at the U.S. embassy in Teheran and held for more than a year. The
nation seemed unable to control events, including economic affairs. America's
trade deficit swelled as low-priced and frequently high-quality imports of
everything from automobiles to steel to semiconductors flooded into the United
States.
The term "stagflation" -- an economic condition of both continuing
inflation and stagnant business activity, together with an increasing
unemployment rate -- described the new economic malaise. Inflation seemed to
feed on itself. People began to expect continuous increases in the price of
goods, so they bought more. This increased demand pushed up prices, leading to
demands for higher wages, which pushed prices higher still in a continuing
upward spiral. Labor contracts increasingly came to include automatic
cost-of-living clauses, and the government began to peg some payments, such as
those for Social Security, to the Consumer Price Index, the best-known gauge of
inflation. While these practices helped workers and retirees cope with
inflation, they perpetuated inflation. The government's ever-rising need for
funds swelled the budget deficit and led to greater government borrowing, which
in turn pushed up interest rates and increased costs for businesses and
consumers even further. With energy costs and interest rates high, business
investment languished and unemployment rose to uncomfortable levels.
In desperation, President Jimmy Carter (1977-1981) tried to combat economic
weakness and unemployment by increasing government spending, and he established
voluntary wage and price guidelines to control inflation. Both were largely
unsuccessful. A perhaps more successful but less dramatic attack on inflation
involved the "deregulation" of numerous industries, including airlines,
trucking, and railroads. These industries had been tightly regulated, with
government controlling routes and fares. Support for deregulation continued
beyond the Carter administration. In the 1980s, the government relaxed controls
on bank interest rates and long-distance telephone service, and in the 1990s it
moved to ease regulation of local telephone service.
But the most important element in the war against inflation was the Federal
Reserve Board, which clamped down hard on the money supply beginning in 1979. By
refusing to supply all the money an inflation-ravaged economy wanted, the Fed
caused interest rates to rise. As a result, consumer spending and business
borrowing slowed abruptly. The economy soon fell into a deep recession.
The Economy in the 1980s
The nation endured a deep recession throughout 1982. Business bankruptcies rose
50 percent over the previous year. Farmers were especially hard hit, as
agricultural exports declined, crop prices fell, and interest rates rose. But
while the medicine of a sharp slowdown was hard to swallow, it did break the
destructive cycle in which the economy had been caught. By 1983, inflation had
eased, the economy had rebounded, and the United States began a sustained period
of economic growth. The annual inflation rate remained under 5 percent
throughout most of the 1980s and into the 1990s.
The economic upheaval of the 1970s had important political consequences.
The American people expressed their discontent with federal policies by turning
out Carter in 1980 and electing former Hollywood actor and California governor
Ronald Reagan as president. Reagan (1981-1989) based his economic program on the
theory of supply-side economics, which advocated reducing tax rates so people
could keep more of what they earned. The theory was that lower tax rates would
induce people to work harder and longer, and that this in turn would lead to
more saving and investment, resulting in more production and stimulating overall
economic growth. While the Reagan-inspired tax cuts served mainly to benefit
wealthier Americans, the economic theory behind the cuts argued that benefits
would extend to lower-income people as well because higher investment would lead
new job opportunities and higher wages.
The central theme of Reagan's national agenda, however, was his belief that
the federal government had become too big and intrusive. In the early 1980s,
while he was cutting taxes, Reagan was also slashing social programs. Reagan
also undertook a campaign throughout his tenure to reduce or eliminate
government regulations affecting the consumer, the workplace, and the
environment. At the same time, however, he feared that the United States had
neglected its military in the wake of the Vietnam War, so he successfully pushed
for big increases in defense spending.
The combination of tax cuts and higher military spending overwhelmed more
modest reductions in spending on domestic programs. As a result, the federal
budget deficit swelled even beyond the levels it had reached during the
recession of the early 1980s. From $74,000 million in 1980, the federal budget
deficit rose to $221,000 million in 1986. It fell back to $150,000 million in
1987, but then started growing again. Some economists worried that heavy
spending and borrowing by the federal government would re-ignite inflation, but
the Federal Reserve remained vigilant about controlling price increases, moving
quickly to raise interest rates any time it seemed a threat. Under chairman Paul
Volcker and his successor, Alan Greenspan, the Federal Reserve retained the
central role of economic traffic cop, eclipsing Congress and the president in
guiding the nation's economy.
The recovery that first built up steam in the early 1980s was not without
its problems. Farmers, especially those operating small family farms, continued
to face challenges in making a living, especially in 1986 and 1988, when the
nation's mid-section was hit by serious droughts, and several years later when
it suffered extensive flooding. Some banks faltered from a combination of tight
money and unwise lending practices, particularly those known as savings and loan
associations, which went on a spree of unwise lending after they were partially
deregulated. The federal government had to close many of these institutions and
pay off their depositors, at enormous cost to taxpayers.
While Reagan and his successor, George Bush (1989-1992), presided as
communist regimes collapsed in the Soviet Union and Eastern Europe, the 1980s
did not entirely erase the economic malaise that had gripped the country during
the 1970s. The United States posted trade deficits in seven of the 10 years of
the 1970s, and the trade deficit swelled throughout the 1980s. Rapidly growing
economies in Asia appeared to be challenging America as economic powerhouses;
Japan, in particular, with its emphasis on long-term planning and close
coordination among corporations, banks, and government, seemed to offer an
alternative model for economic growth.
In the United States, meanwhile, "corporate raiders" bought various
corporations whose stock prices were depressed and then restructured them,
either by selling off some of their operations or by dismantling them piece by
piece. In some cases, companies spent enormous sums to buy up their own stock or
pay off raiders. Critics watched such battles with dismay, arguing that raiders
were destroying good companies and causing grief for workers, many of whom lost
their jobs in corporate restructuring moves. But others said the raiders made a
meaningful contribution to the economy, either by taking over poorly managed
companies, slimming them down, and making them profitable again, or by selling
them off so that investors could take their profits and reinvest them in more
productive companies.
The 1990s and Beyond
The 1990s brought a new president, Bill Clinton (1993-2000). A cautious,
moderate Democrat, Clinton sounded some of the same themes as his predecessors.
After unsuccessfully urging Congress to enact an ambitious proposal to expand
health-insurance coverage, Clinton declared that the era of "big government" was
over in America. He pushed to strengthen market forces in some sectors, working
with Congress to open local telephone service to competition. He also joined
Republicans to reduce welfare benefits. Still, although Clinton reduced the size
of the federal work force, the government continued to play a crucial role in
the nation's economy. Most of the major innovations of the New Deal, and a good
many of the Great Society, remained in place. And the Federal Reserve system
continued to regulate the overall pace of economic activity, with a watchful eye
for any signs of renewed inflation.
The economy, meanwhile, turned in an increasingly healthy performance as
the 1990s progressed. With the fall of the Soviet Union and Eastern European
communism in the late 1980s, trade opportunities expanded greatly. Technological
developments brought a wide range of sophisticated new electronic products.
Innovations in telecommunications and computer networking spawned a vast
computer hardware and software industry and revolutionized the way many
industries operate. The economy grew rapidly, and corporate earnings rose
rapidly. Combined with low inflation and low unemployment, strong profits sent
the stock market surging; the Dow Jones Industrial Average, which had stood at
just 1,000 in the late 1970s, hit the 11,000 mark in 1999, adding substantially
to the wealth of many -- though not all -- Americans.
Japan's economy, often considered a model by Americans in the 1980s, fell
into a prolonged recession -- a development that led many economists to conclude
that the more flexible, less planned, and more competitive American approach
was, in fact, a better strategy for economic growth in the new,
globally-integrated environment.
America's labor force changed markedly during the 1990s. Continuing a
long-term trend, the number of farmers declined. A small portion of workers had
jobs in industry, while a much greater share worked in the service sector, in
jobs ranging from store clerks to financial planners. If steel and shoes were no
longer American manufacturing mainstays, computers and the software that make
them run were.
After peaking at $290,000 million in 1992, the federal budget steadily
shrank as economic growth increased tax revenues. In 1998, the government posted
its first surplus in 30 years, although a huge debt -- mainly in the form of
promised future Social Security payments to the baby boomers -- remained.
Economists, surprised at the combination of rapid growth and continued low
inflation, debated whether the United States had a "new economy" capable of
sustaining a faster growth rate than seemed possible based on the experiences of
the previous 40 years.
Finally, the American economy was more closely intertwined with the global
economy than it ever had been. Clinton, like his predecessors, had continued to
push for elimination of trade barriers. A North American Free Trade Agreement
(NAFTA) had further increased economic ties between the United States and its
largest trading partners, Canada and Mexico. Asia, which had grown especially
rapidly during the 1980s, joined Europe as a major supplier of finished goods
and a market for American exports. Sophisticated worldwide telecommunications
systems linked the world's financial markets in a way unimaginable even a few
years earlier.
While many Americans remained convinced that global economic integration
benefited all nations, the growing interdependence created some dislocations as
well. Workers in high-technology industries -- at which the United States
excelled -- fared rather well, but competition from many foreign countries that
generally had lower labor costs tended to dampen wages in traditional
manufacturing industries. Then, when the economies of Japan and other newly
industrialized countries in Asia faltered in the late 1990s, shock waves rippled
throughout the global financial system. American economic policy-makers found
they increasingly had to weigh global economic conditions in charting a course
for the domestic economy.
Still, Americans ended the 1990s with a restored sense of confidence. By
the end of 1999, the economy had grown continuously since March 1991, the
longest peacetime economic expansion in history. Unemployment totaled just 4.1
percent of the labor force in November 1999, the lowest rate in nearly 30 years.
And consumer prices, which rose just 1.6 percent in 1998 (the smallest increase
except for one year since 1964), climbed only somewhat faster in 1999 (2.4
percent through October). Many challenges lay ahead, but the nation had
weathered the 20th century -- and the enormous changes it brought -- in good
shape. |